Analysis: T20 WC Dew Factor Stats and Chasing Trends
The T20 WC Dew Factor Stats for the 2026 tournament in India are already reshaping betting markets. As the tournament kicks off on February 7, 2026, night matches in Ahmedabad and Mumbai are expected to face moderate to heavy dew. For bettors, this “invisible 12th man” creates a massive imbalance where teams batting second often score quicker and win more frequently as bowlers struggle to grip a ball that feels “like a bar of soap”.
While many experts, including R. Ashwin, warn that dew could dictate the tournament, the data shows a nuanced picture between different venues. Here is the definitive report card on the T20 WC Dew Factor Stats for the most critical stadiums.
🏟️ Wankhede Stadium: The Coastal Dew Trap
In Mumbai, the T20 WC Dew Factor Stats traditionally lean heavily in favor of the chasing team due to high humidity and sea breezes.
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Chasing Success: Chasing sides have won 68 out of 123 IPL matches (55%) at Wankhede.
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Dew Impact: In February, heavy dew typically arrives after 8:00 PM, making it nearly impossible for finger spinners to impart revolutions on the ball.
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Betting Insight: The “chase advantage” at Wankhede is so pronounced that captains almost always choose to bowl first. However, if the first innings score exceeds 190–200, scoreboard pressure can still neutralize the dew advantage.
![Bowler wiping a wet cricket ball with a towel, Alt: T20 WC Dew Factor Stats impact on bowlers]
🏟️ Narendra Modi Stadium: Ahmedabad’s “Skid” Factor
The T20 WC Dew Factor Stats for Ahmedabad tell a slightly different story. While it is the world’s largest venue, it rewards aggression in the first six overs as much as it aids a chase.
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T20I Records: In 7 T20Is at Ahmedabad, the split is nearly even: 4 wins for batting first and 3 for chasing.
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Dew Dynamics: Dew in Ahmedabad helps the ball “skid” onto the bat during the second innings, assisting stroke-makers. Yet, the large boundaries mean that pacers using variations can still defend totals if they strike early.
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Betting Insight: Don’t blindly back the chaser here. If a team like India posts 180+ batting first, the slowing nature of the pitch in the middle overs can often choke the chase before the heavy dew sets in.
📉 Summary: T20 WC Dew Factor Stats by Venue
| Venue | Primary Dew Impact | Best Betting Strategy |
| Mumbai | Heavy (Coastal) | Back the Chaser unless target is 200+. |
| Ahmedabad | Moderate (Skidding) | Back the 1st Innings Powerplay scorers. |
| Kolkata | Heavy (River-adjacent) | Lay the Spinners in the second innings. |
| Colombo | Inconsistent | Back the Scoreboard Pressure (Batting 1st). |
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The dew is coming. The odds are shifting. Are you ready?